Loriguilla vs Moncada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loriguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PAT
3 - 5
LOR
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 2
LLI
23%
20%
58%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BET
1 - 4
LOR
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 2
BEN
58%
19%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 3
LOR
61%
18%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
SPO
59%
19%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
ROC
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 3
MON
55%
19%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MON
3 - 4
LLI
7%
13%
81%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BET
3 - 0
MON
63%
18%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |