Fazendense vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fazendense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
FAZ
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FAZ
3 - 0
BEN
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 3
FAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FAZ
1 - 1
COR
27%
23%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UCH
0 - 0
FAZ
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UFT
5 - 1
BEN
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COR
3 - 2
UFT
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UFT
1 - 1
MAC
85%
12%
4%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
USA
0 - 2
UFT
10%
19%
72%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UFT
2 - 0
RMA
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 11 | 45 | -1 |