Fazendense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fazendense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FAZ
8 - 0
USA
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PON
0 - 3
FAZ
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
RMA
3 - 1
FAZ
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAZ
2 - 2
CDT
42%
24%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
FAZ
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 3
CAL
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAL
26%
27%
46%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 2
PEN
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |