Fayal vs SC Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PRA
5 - 1
FAY
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 1
BOA
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 2
MIC
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FAY
4 - 4
IDE
16%
21%
64%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 0
FAY
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SC Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SCG
2 - 0
AGU
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 0
SCG
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 2
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SCG
0 - 1
BOA
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 1
SCG
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |