Fayal vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 0
FAY
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 0
FAY
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
0 - 2
FAY
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FAY
0 - 3
PRA
12%
19%
68%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
3 - 0
FAY
68%
18%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
IDE
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
IDE
5 - 0
AGU
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRA
5 - 0
IDE
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
IDE
1 - 1
SCG
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 2
IDE
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |