Fawkner Blues vs Preston Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
AIS
4 - 0
FAB
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SOU
6 - 2
FAB
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 0
HUM
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
HEU
2 - 3
FAB
87%
9%
3%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FAB
1 - 1
FRA
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Preston Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
PLI
1 - 1
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
4 - 0
PLI
35%
27%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PLI
3 - 1
WES
70%
19%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PLI
0 - 3
AIS
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
PLI
1 - 2
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |