Fawkner Blues vs Mooroolbark FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.7%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.1%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.2%
1-0
0.9%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.1%
+1
1.4%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.3%
91.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
15.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
20.6%
0-4
13%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
16.3%
0-5
8.7%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
10.5%
0-6
4.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.7%
0-7
2.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2.7%
0-8
1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
1.1%
0-9
0.4%
1-10
0%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FAB
13 - 0
TSC
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BUL
4 - 1
FAB
53%
22%
26%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FAB
3 - 1
MUF
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
FAB
0 - 1
GRE
18%
25%
57%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -9 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
PLI
4 - 1
FAB
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Mooroolbark FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
MOO
1 - 0
OSS
85%
12%
4%
|
71 | 11 | 60 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LTU
0 - 2
MOO
4%
10%
86%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MOO
1 - 3
NOR
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 28 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BUU
1 - 2
MOO
5%
11%
85%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CUF
1 - 5
MOO
5%
12%
83%
|
71 | 13 | 58 | 0 |