Fawkner Blues vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 1
FAB
61%
21%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
COE
1 - 2
FAB
69%
19%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FAB
4 - 0
SWE
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
FAB
1 - 0
ESR
35%
26%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 0
FAB
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | +2 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PLI
2 - 1
MEL
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 0
OAK
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
PLI
1 - 0
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 1
COE
79%
15%
7%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
2 - 5
MEL
9%
17%
75%
|
56 | 14 | 42 | 0 |