Fawkner Blues vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
76.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
OAK
3 - 1
FAB
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
FAB
1 - 0
GRE
12%
20%
68%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | +6 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
ESR
2 - 1
FAB
66%
19%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FAB
0 - 0
SOU
9%
19%
72%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
HEU
1 - 1
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
RIC
0 - 2
MEL
9%
17%
74%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 0
OAK
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
MEL
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
ESR
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 3
MEL
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |