Fawkner Blues vs Essendon Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fawkner Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 0
FAB
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
FAB
1 - 4
HEU
14%
21%
66%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
SGC
0 - 1
FAB
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
FAB
0 - 1
WES
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
KIN
3 - 1
FAB
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Essendon Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
ESR
0 - 1
MEL
10%
18%
72%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
OAK
0 - 0
ESR
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
ESR
1 - 1
GRE
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +3 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
ESR
1 - 0
RIC
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 0
ESR
86%
11%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |