Fatsa Belediye vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+800%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
16º
10º
46
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
5 - 0
TUR
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 1
SIL
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
IKG
0 - 0
FAT
42%
24%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 3
ASK
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NSG
0 - 3
FAT
56%
25%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAZ
0 - 0
TIR
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 1
MAZ
78%
15%
7%
|
11 | 61 | 50 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 1
MAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MAZ
1 - 1
CAY
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
IKG
0 - 0
MAZ
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | 0 |