Fatsa Belediye vs Karacabey Birlikspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
FAT
79%
14%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
ERB
1 - 1
FAT
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 1
BAY
17%
21%
63%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
KOC
2 - 0
FAT
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
DOG
1 - 0
FAT
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Karacabey Birlikspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
KAR
1 - 2
146
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
SYS
3 - 2
KAR
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MUL
1 - 0
KAR
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
KAR
2 - 1
ANK
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
KAR
0 - 2
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |