Fatsa Belediye vs Bayburt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
KOC
2 - 0
FAT
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
DOG
1 - 0
FAT
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
FAT
0 - 1
OFS
28%
28%
44%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
SUR
1 - 2
FAT
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
FAT
1 - 2
PAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 0
146
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 2
DUZ
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
DUZ
1 - 0
BAY
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ORH
3 - 4
BAY
26%
28%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 1
TEK
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |