Fatima vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
FAT
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
PAM
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
8 - 0
ANM
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FAT
3 - 2
OLE
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 3
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 2
POR
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 1
BEN
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
10 - 0
GAV
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | -1 |