Fatima vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
4 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FAT
1 - 2
ELE
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAT
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FAT
4 - 0
ALC
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 1
ALC
42%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
4 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 1
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |