Fatima vs Coutada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
FAT
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FAT
0 - 3
PRA
16%
22%
62%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
FAT
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
USA
1 - 1
FAT
7%
14%
78%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FAT
1 - 0
BEN
35%
26%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
COU
2 - 0
FAY
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 0
COU
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
COU
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
COU
1 - 1
CLU
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
COU
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |