Fatima vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 2
FAT
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 0
1DE
72%
17%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 1
FAT
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 0
TOU
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
FAT
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
PIN
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAL
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAF
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
MOU
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 0
CAL
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |