Fast Clube vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
FAS
1 - 4
RIO
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
FAS
0 - 1
HOL
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
HOL
0 - 0
FAS
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
FAS
1 - 1
HOL
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 3
FAS
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
LUV
4 - 2
RIO
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
MIX
1 - 0
LUV
50%
23%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -3 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
LUV
3 - 2
CEC
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
LUV
3 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
CEC
0 - 0
LUV
39%
24%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |