Fast Clube vs Jaruense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 2
FAS
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
FAS
2 - 2
NAC
37%
23%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
FAS
55%
21%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
FAS
1 - 0
SAO
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAS
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jaruense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
JAR
1 - 1
RIO
19%
23%
59%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
JAR
3 - 5
ULB
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
ULB
0 - 1
JAR
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
JAR
5 - 0
GEN
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 1
JAR
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |