Amazonense Second Round Final
Global 4-0
Fast Clube vs Iranduba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 2
FAS
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FAS
0 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
FAS
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 0
FAS
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FAS
4 - 2
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Iranduba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 2
FAS
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 3
IRA
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 0
FAS
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +5 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 2
IRA
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +2 |