Città di Fasano vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ACC
1 - 0
ASF
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ASF
1 - 3
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 1
ASF
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ASF
0 - 3
PST
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
POM
1 - 1
ASF
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MAT
1 - 1
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 3
MAT
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 3
PST
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
POM
2 - 2
MAT
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
MAT
0 - 0
CAS
26%
26%
49%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |