FAS vs Once Lobos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
FAS
2 - 1
FIR
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
AGU
0 - 3
FAS
36%
25%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FAS
1 - 0
ONC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
MET
1 - 2
FAS
32%
27%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FAS
1 - 1
BAL
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Once Lobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
AGU
1 - 1
ONC
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ONC
1 - 1
MET
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MUN
3 - 1
ONC
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
ONC
0 - 4
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FIR
3 - 1
ONC
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |