FAS vs Once Lobos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 0
FAS
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
FAS
3 - 0
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 1
FAS
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FAS
3 - 1
AGU
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
SAL
1 - 1
FAS
36%
25%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Once Lobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 0
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SAL
1 - 0
ONC
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 2
FIR
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
MET
3 - 3
ONC
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
AGU
2 - 1
ONC
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |