FAS vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
8º
27
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
MUN
0 - 0
FAS
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
ONC
2 - 2
FAS
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MET
3 - 1
FAS
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FAS
0 - 3
FUE
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 0
FAS
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
CDD
1 - 2
CDC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CDP
2 - 0
CDC
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 2
MUN
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ONC
0 - 0
CDC
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 0
MET
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +1 |