FAS vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ONC
0 - 0
FAS
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
FAS
4 - 1
VIS
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ALI
3 - 1
FAS
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
FAS
4 - 2
MET
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
FIR
1 - 1
FAS
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 0
IND
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 1
ONC
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
VIS
1 - 2
CHA
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 2
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
MET
2 - 3
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |