FAS vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
FIR
1 - 4
FAS
37%
28%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
AME
3 - 0
FAS
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
CDA
0 - 1
FAS
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
FAS
3 - 1
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
BAL
1 - 1
FAS
26%
27%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
CDD
2 - 2
ALI
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CDD
1 - 1
MUN
14%
21%
64%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2003 |
AGU
2 - 0
CDD
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FIR
1 - 0
CDD
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CDD
1 - 1
CDA
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |