El Salvador Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
FAS vs Brujos Mario Calvo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 1
FAS
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAS
26%
30%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FAS
2 - 1
FIR
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 2
FAS
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brujos Mario Calvo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
BMC
2 - 2
FAS
7%
15%
78%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |