FAS vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
UES
1 - 1
FAS
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 1
MET
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VIS
1 - 1
FAS
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FAS
1 - 2
ONC
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 0
FAS
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
AGU
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 4
FIR
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UES
2 - 2
ATL
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
ONC
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |