FAS vs CD Arcense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
BAL
1 - 3
FAS
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FAS
1 - 0
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
FAS
3 - 0
CHA
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
AGU
0 - 1
FAS
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
FAS
2 - 1
FIR
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Arcense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
CDA
2 - 2
AGU
25%
24%
52%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
MUN
4 - 1
CDA
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
CDA
3 - 3
SAL
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
MET
2 - 2
CDA
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
FAS
2 - 0
CDA
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |