FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
FAS
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FAS
1 - 0
AGU
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
FIR
1 - 1
FAS
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FAS
1 - 1
MET
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
FAS
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
CDD
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 2
ALI
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
UES
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |