FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 0
FAS
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 0
FAS
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
FAS
1 - 0
UES
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FAS
3 - 1
VIS
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
FAS
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UES
1 - 1
ALI
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
JUV
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 1
ONC
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIS
0 - 0
ALI
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |