FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FIR
3 - 0
FAS
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 0
JUV
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ONC
5 - 0
FAS
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 1
ATL
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
UES
1 - 1
FAS
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 3
AGU
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
VIS
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
FIR
4 - 4
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
JUV
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ONC
2 - 1
ALI
37%
30%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |