FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
MET
4 - 0
FAS
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
FAS
2 - 0
MUN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 0
FAS
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FAS
2 - 0
VIS
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAS
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 0
BAL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
7 - 1
MET
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MUN
0 - 0
ALI
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |