Faro e Benfica vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
59.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faro e Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 0
FAB
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 0
LAG
25%
22%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
FAB
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 4
FAR
53%
22%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MEG
1 - 4
FAB
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MON
4 - 0
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CUL
3 - 1
MON
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 2
QUA
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 4
MON
9%
16%
76%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MON
4 - 1
PAD
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |