Farnborough vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
ROY
5 - 0
FAR
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FAR
4 - 0
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
POT
2 - 2
FAR
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
FAR
2 - 1
ASH
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 1
AFD
79%
13%
9%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
AYL
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 2
AYL
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AFD
4 - 0
CHA
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 3
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHA
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |