Farnborough vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
TIV
3 - 1
FAR
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
TAU
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
WIM
2 - 1
FAR
39%
23%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
TON
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 0
YAT
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 0
HAY
13%
17%
70%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 1
BEA
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
BEA
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 2
GOS
32%
25%
44%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 2
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |