Farnborough vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 6
FAR
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 1
SWI
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
FAR
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 0
STA
79%
12%
8%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 1
HAR
34%
21%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 1
BEA
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BEA
4 - 1
HAR
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
TAU
2 - 1
BEA
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
BEA
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
MET
3 - 1
BEA
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |