Farnborough vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
EGH
1 - 1
FAR
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 2
FAR
13%
18%
68%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 3
HAN
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 0
PET
91%
6%
3%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BED
2 - 1
FAR
14%
19%
68%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AFD
3 - 1
PET
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
HAN
2 - 4
AFD
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ARL
1 - 0
AFD
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AFD
1 - 2
UXB
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
AFD
3 - 3
BAR
53%
21%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |