Farense vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 1
UNM
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 0
FAR
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 2
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BMA
2 - 1
FAR
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 0
TRO
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
SCP
32%
27%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SCP
3 - 3
POR
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
SCP
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SCP
3 - 3
FAR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |