Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
6º
4º
16
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
FAR
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAN
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 1
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 0
FAR
28%
22%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 2
FAR
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Portimonense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
ACV
59%
20%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
42%
22%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
1 - 0
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
MAF
74%
15%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 2
POR
24%
23%
54%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |