Farense U23 vs Leixões U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
6º
4º
8
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 2
RIO
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
5 - 1
POR
44%
22%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
FAR
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAN
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 1
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
LEX
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 3
MAF
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LEX
2 - 2
ACV
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 4
18%
24%
58%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 2
LEX
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |