Farense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
2º
32
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 2
MAF
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
FAR
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
FAR
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
24%
23%
52%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 1
LEX
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 1
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
GIL
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |