Farense U23 vs Estoril U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
16º
11º
24
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BES
0 - 1
FAR
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 1
FAR
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
FAR
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
FAR
46%
22%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
66%
19%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
POR
78%
14%
7%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
EST
33%
25%
41%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
EST
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
SAN
67%
18%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BES
2 - 1
EST
19%
21%
60%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |