Farense Sub 23 vs Benfica Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
10º
19
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 2
SPO
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 2
EST
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 1
EST
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 4
MAF
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
FAR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BES
4 - 1
SAN
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BES
2 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 0
BES
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BES
1 - 0
EST
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BES
3 - 4
EST
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |