Farense U19 vs Lusitano U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
5.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
2º
2º
10
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
FAR
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AMO
3 - 1
FAR
27%
21%
52%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
FCB
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GDA
1 - 5
FAR
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
4 - 1
LOU
57%
20%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
3 - 2
SCF
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 4
AMO
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
5 - 0
LUS
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 1
GDA
17%
19%
65%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 2
LUS
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |