Farense U15 vs Vitória Setúbal U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
8º
3º
35
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
FAR
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
OLH
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
OLH
1 - 2
FAR
56%
20%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
DES
86%
10%
5%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
LUS
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 3
BLN
23%
20%
58%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
VIT
7%
13%
80%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCP
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 4
VIT
19%
20%
62%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
VIT
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |