Farense U15 vs Estoril U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
8º
3º
31
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 1
FAR
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 1
LOU
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 3
FAR
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
CVP
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
FAR
9%
14%
77%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
BLN
12%
15%
73%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
VIT
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
EST
9%
15%
76%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OLH
0 - 3
EST
54%
21%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
FCB
23%
21%
57%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |