CAF Champions League 1/16
Global 3-3
FAR Rabat vs Real Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAR Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
KAW
1 - 0
FAR
39%
31%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FAR
3 - 0
HAS
44%
28%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
WYD
2 - 1
FAR
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
DIF
44%
29%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
FAR
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
DJO
2 - 0
ASR
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ASR
2 - 3
ONZ
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
ELW
1 - 4
ASR
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
ASR
0 - 1
BAM
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ASR
0 - 0
OFF
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |