CAF Champions League Last 16
Global 2-2
FAR Rabat vs APR FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAR Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
OLY
0 - 0
FAR
50%
29%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
APR
2 - 1
FAR
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
FAR
3 - 1
MOU
49%
28%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
WYD
1 - 0
FAR
43%
32%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
FAR
1 - 1
MOG
59%
25%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
APR
2 - 1
FAR
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ASA
0 - 1
APR
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
APR
3 - 2
ASA
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |