Far North Qld Bulls vs NQ Razorbacks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Far North Qld Bulls
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FNQ
3 - 0
BSF
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 2
FNQ
74%
15%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
FNQ
2 - 0
QAS
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FNQ
1 - 2
BRI
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
FNQ
3 - 0
WMF
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
NQ Razorbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
QAS
5 - 3
NQR
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
NQR
1 - 6
BRI
9%
14%
76%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
WMF
3 - 1
NQR
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NQR
4 - 0
GCS
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 1
NQR
88%
9%
4%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |